Looking To Get Back in the Stock Market?
Looking To Get Back in The Stock Market? Be careful, and make a plan.
Tough choice, (November 26th 2008) Market trends seem to be ever changing. I have put a buy list together. This is a good starting point. Fundamentals change quickly. My Buy list targets include MDR, MTW, CME, C, HAIN, YGE, Yingle Solar has been beaten up with declining margins; but, supported by locked in government contracts. CME has took a recent dive as the market has perged so many hedge fund investors that have left the market for one reason or another. Chicago Mercantile Exchange has strong earnings, and has a great business hosting futures trading. New government legislation bringing in new traders with a is essentially the market maker. I am sure CME can make profitable margins, and should continue to focus on consolidating markets while creating a participant conscious market. I took GOOG off my buy list because of declining margins and fear of declining numbers across industry players. Last month Google was a favorite. Best hope some new model that better reconizes Google value to the world. Citi Bank looks to have a big upside potential and only $7 left until zero. I hope have a really good chance of making money over the long run.
You can make a fortune buying and selling at the extremes of this market is a comment from the Kirk Report.
(Ocotober 31, 2008) I am staying out of investing at least until the new year. Very excited about locking in my first year of tradig profits. In addition to a recent removal of an adrenal gland in the wrong place makes me understand stock trading is not for myself. I still like to watch, and reflect on the market developments. The biggest thing I learned is to lower my expectation and limit how much I watch the market. Be patient, and wait for stocks to move into your target buy or sell range. Keep hard work, experience, and sense of humor on your side. The market still has life to it.
Traders moving the market when it goes higher, and over exuberance relentlessly leaves profit on the short side. Investors are buying long term here and some are selling. Green Span comments early in 2008 on U.S economy did put our economy exposed to high oil prices.
(November 26th 2008)
(October 31st 2008 list)
GOOG – is gaining market share today, and offering value. GOOG price multiple for years after 2010 are too low. Goog seems to ad value and create opportunity. Risks remain in slowing trends in advertising budgets.
CROX – look likes dicey here; over sold and has a large short position. I don’t see Crox as a fad and earning are strong. Crox is trading at a price you could make 10X your money in a few years if things go Crox’s way. The quality absorbing plastic shoes are nice; the hard plastic shoes should be faded out. Sure inventories may be high; but, that seems to be a strategy from beginning of the trend. Sending piles of Crox slippers to retailers to boost consumer confidence in the style of Crox
MDR – looks like a takeover candidate, value play, strong infrastructure company with buyers
YGE - Solar pricing should be strong with government assistance; but, depressive oil prices could be diffucult. Reasonable priced growth stock.
COF – The recent injections of cash should boost earnings in 2009. Further weakness in consumer credit debt is expected with the relief valve of the government cash COF may be a worthy investment.
entertainment purposes and education.
November 26, 2008 Posted by topstockblog | Stock investing links, ideas, and opinions. | bear market, blog, bull market, Buy List, cof, crox, economics financial, ETF, GOOG, investing, kirk report, MDR, money, options, profits, Stocks on the move, stocks to buy, stocks to short 2008, trading, trading systems, trend following, YGE | 2 Comments
Jim Cramer’s latest thoughts and bullish stocks. Mad Money recap
Jim Cramer’s latest thoughts and bullish stocks. Mad Money recap
Jim Cramer (November 27th 2008) is very excited about small successes in the market, and has come out with several stock picks C, MDR, CAT, AAPL, NUE among several other stocks he is cautously bullish on. Cramer targets corporations with dividend’s and stable share holders. Cramer recommends not trying to time a bottom, diversification, and doing your homework.
(June 15th 2008) Jim Cramer recently published am artcle about sticking with new tech. Corporations that will meet the worlds most pressing issues over the next 50 years like Energy, poverty, environment, clean water, and population. Here is the list of new cap published at the Street.com a cool website for stock market information. Recap: Stay with New Tech05/20/08 – 07:43 PM EDT
CMI EMR ENER (Breakout Stocks PICK) ETN FSLR GLW HLF NAVZ NYX PH
TheStreet.com Staff
Review Jim Cramers latest edition of Mad Moneywhen searching for stocks, to gain both insight, and understanding of the latest developments in the stock market. Through this link to this website that gives a link to the latest show. Including a link to Jim’s portfolio plus recent trades. A link to Warren Buffet’s portfolio, and alot of great information.
http://www.madmoneyrecap.com/
Entertainment purposes only,
November 26, 2008 Posted by topstockblog | Stock investing links, ideas, and opinions. | AAPL, C, CAT, Jim Cramer, Mad Money, New tech, NUE, review of stock website, stock market, Stocks, Stocks on the move, stocks to buy, technogy, Worlds most pressing needs over next 50 years | 1 Comment
Topstockblog play book.
1. Use the 50 DMVA (Day Moving Average) to gain insight. Be aware of how different Moving averages like the 200 day moving average influences a stocks. Consolidation takes time and averages influence direction. The 50 DMVA shows when a lot of money moves into or out of a stock. Look for stocks ready to break out of consolidating patterns. Look for support and resistance levels. look at over sold and over bought indicators (VIX) (MACD) Wait for blood in the water to make trades. Do not buy over bought stocks. Buy over sold stocks.
2. Work with liquid and solid stocks only. Hard enough to figure out what a liquid stock will do, let alone one that is controlled by the action of a few people. Focus on getting price improvement for all trades to slightly improve trading results. Look at a one day time frame to likely best price of the day to get the best price. Look at what might be the best price of the week. Look to what could hold the stock up. i.e Look to get in at or near the low of the day or week. Look to trade with the likely direction of the market.
3. Use a set unit size. Will help ensure a long run positive return. Overly investing will significantly increase the chance you eventually go broke. No matter how much money you accumulate along the ride.
4. Look at the potential return on the trade versus the potential loss on the trade. Look at the likely hood the trade will work, and what I expect to gain from the trade. A trade that looks like I could earn double my money or better while have a projected likely loss of 1/3 or less is a trade with a positive expectation if it is successful 50% of the time.
6. Focus on a set or refined list of stocks to better understand how a stock may move in the future to gain an advantage
7. Always be careful. Good luck and bad luck are a part of trading markets. Trading has and will always be difficult.
8. Understanding myself is important to deal with mistakes that may be predictable in nature. Looking to where I may falter. My strength lies in my hard work ethic. My weaknesses that can side track me are aggression, emotional instability, drinking, negative attitude, lack of financial resources, and lack of patience.
9. Be patient, and follow my rules. I found it hard to diversify and not add to losing positions. I find it hard to keep my money in cash. I have found taking money out on a regular basis helpful to finding balance. Keep some money in cash always, go over my rules repeatedly to stay within the rules. Do not add more than once to a losing position.
10. Work a schedule of Monday to Friday 9:00-4 and 6-8. I found it important to set boundaries for hours to work and/or worry about the market.
11. Use a two step buying process. Averaging down trading approach may be useful. A two step exit approach may also be effective. Both to lock in profits and let profits go higher
12. Do not trade options expiring the same week.
13. Be aware how progressive an idea may be or how it may be of little importance.
14. Look at both sides of the trade.
15. Stay focused on the stock market. Don’t confuse political ideals with where a stock is going or get overly focussed on what you think should happen. Focus on what is likely to happen.
16. Take time out when I am emotionally drained .
17. Stocks tend to move the opposite of options volume. i.e. a lots of put buying in OIH compared to call buying often indicates a hedge by real buyers and dumb money guessing wrong in my experience.
18. Use indexes that move with your stock; despite fundamentals stocks will often trade directionally with an underlying index. i.e. XOM or RIG will trade with the OIH index.
20. Be very selective about trades, takes to try to find profitable opportunities. Call and Put writers are very intelligent and often time ideas, news is already priced into the price premium of the option.
21. Go over actual results of trading. Look improve future trading performance and learn from the past.
Entertainment purposes, and education.
Social and Environmental websites
Stock Market Websites
U.S. Government Resources
Bullish Stocks
Updated 4/13/09 -- AAPL, AUY, CALM ,CMED, FEED, GFA, IBM, MTW, PBR, UPL, VAR, YGE. YGE is a solar stock of china - management bought shares, MTW - is falling apart, recently bad aquistion food service products- demand is low; but, good risk reward. ***Took out Crox, added FEED - China food demand growth strory, and VAR - top of line cancer treatment equipment. The market volatility is declining, uptick rule if reinstated should be supportive to stability, Retirement costs, recession, greed, environmental damage, war, theft, and debt obligations have the potential to bankrupt communities in worst case scenarios. (Added greed, war, and theft to list of world problems. Removed Energy shortage.) Innovation, sacrifice, leadership, peace, hope, technology, charity, and security are helping. Seasonal and long term trends in the market always seem to play a big role. I like AAPL as a long term value to the world, and a positive image of American Technology. ****Entertainment purposes***Categories
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last years trade ideas 12/2008
GOOG is gaining market share; but, aproaching a size in which growth rates should decline. Missed earnings last quarter. Has new ideas in pipeline. RTH rising when it becomes over sold, and declining over bought. Increasing occupancy rates, and a recession can not be good. UNH less attractive over bought, and better value over sold. OIH looks range bound and tradable. Oil is probably over sold currently around $40 a barrel. QQQQ looks like a good short until this becomes over done. Monetary policy is supportive of stock prices, and home prices. Entertainment purposes,Stocks looking tradeable
My watch list updated 4/13/09, YGE - under $10* FEED - under $3 * AAPL - under $125* MGM - under $7* GV - under .50 cents - huricaine play Entertainment purposes,
